Tonight, the great and good of Hollywood will convene to celebrate the best of film-making in 2018 at the 91st Academy Awards.
There is no main host this year, the first time in 30 years. The last time this happened was the 61st Academy Awards and the opening number featured- and I kid you not- a duet between Rob Lowe and Snow White to the tune of 'Proud Mary'. Talk about things being seen that cannot be unseen... Here's hoping that producers Donna Gigliotti and Glenn Weiss come up with something a little less surreal!
It has become a tradition for me to predict the nominations and the winners in the main six categories (the four acting categories, Best Director and Best Picture). I've done this since 2003 with varying degrees of success. Last year, I got 5 out of 6.
So, without further ado, here are my predictions for who will win.
Best Supporting Actress: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
With wins at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice and Independent Spirits behind her, King seems the most likely winner of the Supporting Actress Oscar. Her performance as Sharon, mother of the pregnant Tish, supporting her daughter through pregnancy and trying to prove her fiance's innocence, has been widely praised and has usually been singled out amongst the ensemble cast performances.
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
He's won the BAFTA, the Golden Globe, SAG, and Crtics Choice Awards so I don't see the Oscar going elsewhere. Ali's performance as Dr. Don Shirley, the quiet, reserved, classical pianist who butts heads against the brasher Tony Lip, is superb. It's nuanced, sophisticated, and precise. He would be an incredibly worthy winner (and only the second Black actor to win two Oscars; the other being Denzel Washington).
Best Actress: Glenn Close (The Wife)
If any other name than Glenn Close is announced for Best Actress, I will be most surprised. The Golden Globe, SAG, Independent Spirit, and Critics Choice Awards have all gone her way- and only BAFTAs British slant to spoil the clean sweep. Her performance as Joan Castleman- devoted wife and mother who starts to question her life when her husband wins the Nobel Prize for Literature- is superb. There's a scene where she's being questioned by an interviewer and it's a masterclass in subtext; so much going on behind her eyes. Surely, on the seventh time of asking, it's time for Glenn Close to get the Oscar?
Best Actor: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
I just want to say this before I start. I have several issues with Bohemian Rhapsody as a film- but none of them are to do with Rami Malek's central performance as Freddie Mercury. He is just sublime. Flamboyant, edgy, camp without being grating, and exuding a sensuality that's difficult to ignore, Malek's performance helps bring the larger-than-life personality of Mercury to life. He is good; the film not so much. But I do feel he should be duly recognised for his performance.
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón (Roma)
Cuarón's second directing Oscar seems fairly secure, after winning the Golden Globe, the BAFTA, the Critics Choice, and the Directors' Guild (DGA) Awards for his work on Roma. It's an intensely personal project for Cuarón- not only directing but writing, producing, and acting as cinematographer and co-editor. The direction is clear, and he gets strong performances for a cast largely comprised of first-time actors. Much like with Glenn Close, any other name will be a surprise.
Best Picture: Roma
Like last year, this comes down to two films: for me, it's between Roma and Green Book for Best Picture. Both films are well-made and have strong performances and a strong aesthetic style. That said, there's arguments to be made against both too: there's been a load of negative stories about Green Book (from Viggo Mortensen using a racial slur during an interview, to the writer's re-tweeting of Donald Trump's lie about Muslims celebrating 9/11, and director Peter Farrelly's previous less-than-professional on-set behaviour) which might put the mockers on it. On the other side, a foreign language film has never won Best Picture, and the fact that it's been made for Netflix has got some cinema purists up in arms. But I think it might be time for a shake-up. Of the two films, I preferred Green Book, but I do think Roma will take the top prize tonight.
In terms of some of the other categories, I'm thinking that Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse will take Best Animated Feature, Roma will almost certainly get Best Foreign Language Film (if it doesn't take the top prize as well) and 'Shallow' from A Star Is Born will probably get Best Original Song.
I'll be watching the broadcast live from the Dolby Theatre tonight (well, early hours of tomorrow morning) and I'll do a post about the ceremony and my thoughts as soon as I can afterwards. Now, time for a power nap and then a vat of something caffeinated!
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