Awards Season 2020: Tez's Official Academy Award Nomination Predictions

Tomorrow morning, the nominations for the 92nd Academy Awards will be announced. This year, they will be announced by John Cho (Star Trek Beyond, Searching) and Issa Rae (The Hate U Give, Insecure). 

As has been my practice for the last few years (well, since 2003), I like to try and predict who will be nominated (this is done for Best Picture, Best Director and the four acting awards). Below is my list of who I think will be named tomorrow.

NB. Since the 2010 ceremony, the Academy rules state that there could be anywhere between five and ten Best Picture nominees. I have selected ten films. If the total number of films nominated is less than ten, but one of the movies selected is named in my list of ten, I will count it as a successful prediction.

BEST PICTURE

1917

Bombshell

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Knives Out

Little Women

Marriage Story

Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood 

Parasite

BEST DIRECTOR

Bong Joon Ho (Parasite)

Sam Mendes (1917)

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)

Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

Taika Waititi (Jojo Rabbit)

BEST ACTOR

Antonio Banderas (Pain And Glory)

Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Taron Egerton (Rocketman)

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

BEST ACTRESS

Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)

Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman)

Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)

Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)

Florence Pugh (Little Women)

Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

Usually a score of 15 is adequate, but given the fact that there could be anywhere between 5 and 10 Best Picture awards, I’ll be happy with a prediction of 18 or higher. Last year, I got 28/33 as I tripped up on the Best Director category, and the acting nominations for Roma. 

There's a good chance that both the Director and Actor categories could contain a few curveballs. I've gone with Taika Waititi for Director (due to the DGA nod) but I won't be surprised if Todd Phillips sneaks it for Joker. There's always the chance they throw everyone for a loop and go for Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story) or Greta Gerwig (Little Women).

Best Actor could see some surprises with Adam Sandler (Uncut Gems), Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes), Robert De Niro (The Irishman) and Christian Bale (Le Mans '66 [Ford V Ferrari]) all in contention at some point or another. Similarly, whilst I think Best Actress is fairly secure, Lupita Nyong'o could get a nod in place of Saiorse Ronan for her turn in Us. 

I'll be waiting with bated breath tomorrow afternoon (luckily, it's the more palatable time of 1:20pm here when they're announced) and a post will follow shortly afterwards with the official nominations.

Awards Season 2020: BAFTA Film Awards Nominations

Morning!

An early start today, as the nominations for the 2020 BAFTA Film Awards were announced at 7:35(ish) GMT by Ella Balinska (Charlie's Angels) and Asa Butterfield (Hugo)

Here's a selection of the nominees:

BEST FILM

1917

The Irishman

Joker

Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood 

Parasite

OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

1917

Bait

For Sama

Rocketman

Sorry We Missed You

The Two Popes

LEADING ACTOR

Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Taron Egerton (Rocketman)

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

LEADING ACTRESS

Jessie Buckley (Wild Rose)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)

Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman)

Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)

Florence Pugh (Little Women)

Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

Margot Robbie (Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood)

DIRECTOR

Bong Joon Ho (Parasite)

Sam Mendes (1917)

Todd Phillips (Joker)

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)

Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

A full list of nominees can be found here.

Joker leads the nominations with 11, whilst The Irishman and Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood have 10 apiece, and 1917 has nine. 

There's always a British slant to the BAFTAs (go figure), plus there's always the issue of film eligibility or release, so some of the choices here may seem like outliers. Personally, I'm quite chuffed to see The Two Popes feature as much as it does. Interestingly, BAFTA are the first major awards body to recognise Margot Robbie's performance in Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood; all the others have given her the nod for Bombshell instead. 

The nominees for the 2020 Rising Star award - the only BAFTA awarded by public vote- have also been announced: Awkwafina, Kaitlyn Dever, Kelvin Harrison Jr, Jack Lowden, and Micheal Ward. Find out more about them, and cast your vote here. 

The BAFTAs will be handed out on Sunday 2nd February 2020 in a ceremony at the Royal Albert Hall in London, hosted by Graham Norton for the first time.

Congratulations to all nominees!


More awards news later today as two of the major guilds- Producers' and Directors'- announce their nominations.

Awards Season 2020: Screen Actors' Guild (SAG) Awards Nominations

More awards shenanigans today with the announcement of the 26th Annual Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards nominations. This is generally considered to be a bit of a bellwether award, as the voting body for SAG overlaps quite substantially with the actors' branch of the Academy. 

Below is the list of film nominations:

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Bombshell

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Parasite

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Christian Bale (Le Mans '66 [a.k.a. Ford V Ferrari])

Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Taron Egerton (Rocketman)

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Lupita Nyong'o (Us)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman)

Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood)

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)

Nicole Kidman (Bombshell)

Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)

Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

Outstanding Action Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture

Avengers: Endgame

Le Mans '66 [a.k.a. Ford V Ferrari]

The Irishman

Joker

Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood

A couple of interesting inclusions to the list - lovely to see Lupita Nyong'o recognised for Us and I'm happy to see Taron Egerton on the list. This is the first major awards mentions for both Jamie Foxx and Nicole Kidman (her Bombshell co-stars Charlize Theron and Margot Robbie have both had Golden Globe and Critics' Choice nominations). No love for The Two Popes, Adam Sandler, or Robert De Niro, which I'm sure people will be calling a "snub" as I write this. This also gives a lot of people already mentioned in this awards season a boost towards the Academy nods. 

Once Upon A Time... In Hollywood, The Irishman, and Bombshell all have four nominations apiece, whilst Marriage Story has three. 

The Screen Actors' Guild (SAG) Awards will be handed out on 26th January 2020.

Right, we'll be taking a bit of a break from awards stuff til the start of 2020. Next will be the Writers' Guild of America (WGA) Awards on 6th January.