Tomorrow morning (5:30AM PT/8:30AM ET/1:30PM GMT), the nominations for the 96th Academy Awards will be announced. This year, they will be announced by Zazie Beetz (Deadpool 2, Joker, Atlanta) and Jack Quaid (Scream [2022], The Hunger Games, The Boys)
Since 2003, I have tried to predict who will be nominated in several of the major categories (Best Picture, Best Director and the four acting awards). Below is my list of who I think will be named tomorrow.
BEST PICTURE
American Fiction
Anatomy Of A Fall
Barbie
The Color Purple
The Holdovers
Killers Of The Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
BEST DIRECTOR
Greta Gerwig (Barbie)
Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things)
Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
Alexander Payne (The Holdovers)
Martin Scorsese (Killers Of The Flower Moon)
BEST ACTOR
Bradley Cooper (Maestro)
Colman Domingo (Rustin)
Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)
Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction)
BEST ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone (Killers Of The Flower Moon)
Sandra Hüller (Anatomy Of A Fall)
Carey Mulligan (Maestro)
Margot Robbie (Barbie)
Emma Stone (Poor Things)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)
Robert De Niro (Killers Of The Flower Moon)
Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)
Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
Jodie Foster (Nyad)
Julianne Moore (May December)
Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)
As we now have 10 Best Picture nominees (in addition to the 20 for acting and 5 for directing), I will be happy with any score over 20. Last year, it was 29/35 (83%).
I'm confident of eight of the ten Best Picture nods, with my question marks over The Color Purple and potentially Past Lives. May December and/or The Zone Of Interest could take either place.
I went for the five DGA nominees for Best Director, and I'm fairly confident with them. Bradley Cooper might sneak in for Maestro, but it seems unlikely. There's the potential for Jonathan Glazer to get a surprise nomination for The Zone Of Interest (in the same vein as Ruben Östlund did last year for Triangle Of Sadness); if he does, I'd say The Zone Of Interest will almost definitely get a Best Picture nod.
With Best Actor, I went for the five SAG nominees - although there's still a chance that Leonardo DiCaprio sneaks in for Killers Of The Flower Moon (to the detriment of either Colman Domingo or Jeffrey Wright, sadly). For Best Actress, there's a couple of performances that might make their way in, with Annette Bening (Nyad), Greta Lee (Past Lives), Fantasia Barrino (The Color Purple) or even potentially Natalie Portman (May December) in contention.
Best Supporting Actor feels like the most fluid category at the moment; I'm confident with three of my five picks (De Niro, Downey Jr., and Gosling). You might see Willem Dafoe (Poor Things), Charles Melton (May December), or Dominic Sessa (The Holdovers) included; hell, they may even go for a real curveball and nominate someone like Matt Bomer (Maestro) who has had zero presence in awards season thus far.
I'm fairly settled with my choices for Best Supporting Actress, although Julianne Moore is the one potentially most at risk. There's been a bit of a seachange as things have gone on, with May December losing out more and more as awards season has rolled on. It's not beyond the realms of possibility that we could see America Ferrera nominated for Barbie, or Brooks' co-star Taraji P. Henson for The Color Purple. There's a small part of me that would love to see Rosamund Pike nominated for Saltburn, but I've got a feeling that film is a bit too rich for the blood of the Academy voters...
As usual, I'll get a post up as soon as I can tomorrow afternoon with the official nominations.
Later today (Monday 22nd January) should see this year's Razzies nominations. I'll post about them a bit later on.
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